Category: Insight

Fund Flows & Issuance:  According to a Wells Fargo report, flows week to date were $2.3 billion and year to date flows stand at $12.7 billion.  New issuance for the week was $8.4 billion and year to date HY is at $53.0 billion, which is -0% over the same period last year.

(Bloomberg)  High Yield Market Highlights

• S. junk bond returns hit 7 percent for the year-to-date as BB yields fell to a 13-month low after the Fed’s mid-week dove surprise.
• S. high-yield funds have seen net inflows in 8 of the last 10 weeks
• Junk bond rally also boosted by S&P 500 at a 5- month high, oil at a 4-month high
• Supply was steady, with another $1.8b pricing led by ADT’s senior secured tranches
• Senior secured notes dominated junk bond supply year-to-date accounting for 30% of the issuance activity, the highest proportion in at least 2 years
• They accounted for 13% of the supply last year and 21% the year before
• ADT cut its bond offering to $1.5b after dropping the $1.25b 8NC3 senior unsecured tranche as there was not enough demand for those notes at an acceptable rate
• Both secured tranches priced at lower end of talk, had orders above $3b for the 2 tranches combined
• With loan supply lagging this year, senior secured notes are being used to repay loans and/or fund acquisitions as in Power Solutions
• High-yield returns YTD surged to 7%, the best in fixed income
• Single-Bs beat CCCs for second time this year, with YTD return of 6.97%
• BBs and CCCs were at 6.93%
• Loans lag high yield, with YTD return of 4.2%

(Business Wire)  B&G Foods Announces that Bill Herbes, EVP of Operations, Plans to Retire

• B&G Foods announced today that William F. Herbes, the Company’s Executive Vice President of Operations, plans to retire at the end of December 2019. Mr. Herbes, age 64, has served as Executive Vice President of Operations since joining the Company in August 2009.
• Commenting on Mr. Herbes’ retirement plans, Kenneth G. Romanzi, who currently serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer and, as previously announced, will become B&G Foods’ next President and Chief Executive Officer on April 6, 2019, said, “Bill has been a very important member of our management team since joining B&G Foods almost ten years ago. It has been a privilege to work with Bill and I am delighted that Bill has agreed to remain with B&G Foods through year end and partner with Erich Fritz, our Executive Vice President and Chief Supply Chain Officer, to continue to evolve our operations to become even more efficient and cost effective.”
• Robert C. Cantwell, President and Chief Executive Officer of B&G Foods said, “Bill has been a tremendous contributor to B&G Foods’ growth over the past ten years. Since assuming responsibility for our supply chain and manufacturing operations in 2009, our company’s net sales have more than tripled and our domestic and international sourcing and manufacturing operations and capabilities have greatly expanded. Mr. Herbes has played an integral role in our growth, including through post-M&A integration of numerous manufacturing facilities, distribution centers and co-pack arrangements, including B&G Foods’ two largest manufacturing facilities. Under Bill’s strong leadership, we also successfully established a frozen distribution network following our acquisition of the Green Giantbrand and successfully outsourced our shelf-stable distribution network to a third-party logistics provider. Over the years, Bill has also played a key role in our cost savings initiatives. I am very pleased that Bill will continue with B&G Foods through the remainder of 2019 and wish him the best of luck in his retirement.”

(PR Newswire)  Steel Dynamics Provides First Quarter 2019 Earnings Guidance

• Steel Dynamics provided first quarter 2019 earnings guidance in the range of $0.88 to $0.92 per diluted share.  Comparatively, the company’s sequential fourth quarter 2018 earnings were $1.17 per diluted share and prior year first quarter earnings were $0.96 per diluted share. Fourth quarter 2018 results included additional company-wide performance-based compensation of $0.04 per diluted share and lower earnings of $0.10 per diluted share, associated with planned maintenance outages at the company’s liquid pig iron production facility and its two flat roll steel mills.
• First quarter 2019 earnings from the company’s steel operations is expected to decrease in comparison to sequential fourth quarter results, primarily related to lower earnings from the company’s sheet operations.  However, recent increases in sheet steel prices are having a positive impact, resulting in increased order activity and reconstituted order backlogs.
• Overall steel shipments are expected to increase in the first quarter 2019, compared to fourth quarter 2018 results, and average quarterly steel product pricing is expected to decrease more than the cost of average scrap consumed.  The company believes domestic steel consumption will continue to improve through the year.

(New York Times)  Fed, Dimming Its Economic Outlook, Predicts No Rate Increases This Year

• The Federal Reserve said Wednesday that the United States economy was slowing more than it had previously thought as it left interest rates unchanged and signaled little appetite for raising them again in the near future.
• The Fed now expects 2.1 percent growth this year, down from the 2.3 percent it forecast in December. The outlook for 2020 is even more bleak, with the Fed now projecting growth of just 1.9 percent.
• The downbeat assessment comes as the Fed sees signs of weakness in areas like consumer spending and business investment, which Mr. Powell said “suggest that growth is slowing somewhat more than expected.” Average monthly job growth, while strong, “appears to have stepped down from last year’s strong pace,” he added.
• Powell tried to reassure markets by saying “economical fundamentals are still very strong,” but he acknowledged that recent developments both domestically and abroad were making it harder for the American economy to grow as quickly as it did last year.
• Forecasts released at the end of the two-day meeting show the typical member of the Federal Open Market Committee now expects not to raise rates at all this year. Most officials now expect a single rate increase in 2020 and none in 2021.

Fund Flows & Issuance:  According to a Wells Fargo report, flows week to date were $1.4 billion and year to date flows stand at $11.1 billion.  New issuance for the week was $4.6 billion and year to date HY is at $42.7 billion, which is -12% over the same period last year.

(Bloomberg)  High Yield Market Highlights

• S. junk bonds extended this week’s rally, as dedicated funds received fresh cash inflows.
• Yields held firm as oil rallied to close at a 4-month high after rising for 4 straight sessions
• Returns were at new YTD highs across ratings, with high-yield index at 6.52%
• Triple Cs were best performers yesterday, held top rank YTD, with 6.83% gain
• BBs returned 6.35%, single-Bs 6.45%
• Loans lagged high yield bonds, with YTD return of 4.2%
• S. junk operating against backdrop of strong technicals as reflected in slow issuance activity, net inflows into retail funds, low default rate, steady corporate earnings

(Fierce Wireless)  New details cause FCC to pause T-Mobile/Sprint merger for third time

• The FCC has stopped the clock on a proposed merger between wireless carriers Sprint and T-Mobile. The agency said it has received “significant new information” regarding the deal and has opened up a three-week period ending March 28 for public comment. The pause comes on day 122 of the 180-day review period the FCC holds for mergers.
• Opposition to the merger gained momentum when the Wireless Internet Service Providers Association (WISPA) joined a coalition of rural wireless providers that oppose the merger. The 4Competition Coalition is comprised of 25 organizations, including WISPA, Dish, C Spire and the Rural Wireless Association (RWA). The coalition has argued that the merger, which would reduce the number of nationwide wireless carriers to from four to three if successful, would hamper rural consumers’ access to wireless service. “The combined company would have significant new incentive and ability to raise prices and preemptively stamp out competition from newcomers. And the merger would result in the loss of tens of thousands of jobs in the process,” the coalition claims on its website.
• Earlier this week, T-Mobile filed new plans for the combined company to provide residential broadband service. T-Mobile CEO John Legere seemed to respond to the opposition in a blog post this week, which claimed that the combined company will pose a competitive challenge to cable broadband providers.
• “We’ll give millions of Americans—especially those in underserved rural areas—more choices and options for connecting to the internet and participating in the digital economy,” Legere wrote. “With the New T-Mobile and our unique 5G capabilities, we’ll be able to offer a fast and reliable alternative for in-home broadband.”

(Company Filing and CAM)  AMC Entertainment notes downgraded to CCC+ by S&P 

• AMC launched a potential refinancing of their existing credit facilities. They intend to use a portion of the net proceeds of such refinancing to redeem all of the outstanding 5.875% Senior Subordinated Notes due 2022 and 6.00% Senior Secured Notes due 2023 pursuant to the provisions of the indentures pursuant to which such notes were issued. There can be no assurance as to whether and when such refinancing and redemption will occur and on what terms such refinancing will occur, if at all.
• While the refinancing is for the most part leverage neutral, S&P lowered the ratings on the existing senior subordinated notes due to the added secured debt placed above the notes in the capital structure.

Fund Flows & Issuance:  According to a Wells Fargo report, flows week to date were -$1.2 billion and year to date flows stand at $9.7 billion.  New issuance for the week was $5.0 billion and year to date HY is at $38.0 billion, which is -6% over the same period last year.

(Bloomberg)  High Yield Market Highlights

• S. junk bond yields jumped the most in four weeks, closing at a two-week high, as returns turned negative across ratings for a third consecutive session, the worst run since January. Triple C bonds suffered the biggest decline since December.
• Yields rose in 5 of the last 9 trading sessions as S&P 500 dropped the most in 4 weeks to close at 3-week low
• Equity fell for 4 straight sessions for first time since December
• VIX rose for 4 straight sessions for the first time since October, closing at a 5-week high
• Nervous junk bond investors withdrew cash from high yield funds, the first negative flow since January
• Resilience of high yield was evident in steady pricing of new issues
• Biggest LBO deal YTD, Power Solutions, had $15b in orders for senior secured and unsecured tranche combined, after just two days of roadshow
• Junk bonds still remain best-performing in fixed income, with YTD return of 6.07%
• CCC bonds fell 0.18% yesterday, have gained 6.38% YTD
• High yield maintained lead over loans, which returned 4.16% YTD
• S. junk bonds operate against the backdrop of strong technicals as reflected in slow issuance, low default rate, steady corporate earnings

(Bloomberg)  CenturyLink Finds ‘Material’ Accounting Issues With Level 3

• CenturyLink Inc. discovered a “material weakness” in accounting involving the value of assets acquired with the 2017 purchase of Level 3 Communications and notified regulators that its 10-K filing will be late.
• CenturyLink said it found problems with “internal controls” in its books involving recording and “measuring fair value of assets and liabilities” it took over with the Level 3
  acquisition, according to a filing Monday. The rural telephone company said it needs to audit the accounting before it can report its year-end numbers, but that the problem won’t cause any material changes to the results it reported Feb. 13.
• Monroe, Louisiana-based CenturyLink bought Level 3 to strengthen its sales to businesses and cope with a long-running decline in landline demand. The company — one of the largest junk-bond issuers in the U.S. — is part of a challenging industry that includes Windstream Holdings Inc., which filed for bankruptcy protection last month.

(Bloomberg)  Digital Colony Is Said to Weigh Bid for Zayo 

• Digital Colony, a communications infrastructure-focused firm formed by Tom Barrack’s Colony Capital Inc. and Digital Bridge Holdings LLC, is part of a potential buyer group weighing a bid for Zayo Group Holdings Inc., according to a person with knowledge of the matter.
• The group, led by Digital Colony and investment firm EQT, has fully committed debt financing, said the person, who asked not to be named because the matter is private. A Digital Colony representative didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment, and an EQT representative declined to comment.
• Zayo is a Boulder, Colorado-based owner of fiber networks across North America and Europe on Wednesday said it’s “evaluating strategic alternatives.”
• Zayo, led by Chief Executive Officer Dan Caruso, postponed its analyst day, and said it will take “a minimum of several weeks to months” to consider its options, though there’s no set timetable nor assurance a strategic alternative will result.

(Bloomberg)  T-Mobile’s Sprint Deal Draws State Concerns Over Consumer Harm

• State antitrust enforcers are expressing deep concerns that T-Mobile US Inc.’s proposed takeover of Sprint Corp. could raise prices for consumers, signaling they might seek to thwart the deal.
• Some state attorneys general who are investigating the $26 billion transaction took the unusual step this week of publicly voicing worries that the combination could harm competition, offering insight for the first time into how they view the tie- up.
• Maryland Attorney General Brian Frosh, a Democrat, said combining T-Mobile and Sprint would further concentrate an already consolidated industry by leaving just three national carriers. “That’s dangerous for competition. That’s dangerous for consumers,” Frosh said in an interview on the sidelines of an annual conference in Washington for state attorneys general.
• The comments come after more than a dozen states joined to investigate the deal in parallel with the Justice Department and the Federal Communications Commission, which are nearing the end of their reviews.
• The tie-up has been widely criticized by consumer groups and Democratic lawmakers who want officials to oppose the deal. The states can sue to block the merger on antitrust grounds even if federal officials approve the takeover.

Fund Flows & Issuance:  According to a Wells Fargo report, flows week to date were $0.2 billion and year to date flows stand at $11.0 billion.  New issuance for the week was $2.2 billion and year to date HY is at $31.4 billion, which is -10% over the same period last year.

(Bloomberg)  High Yield Market Highlights 

• U.S. junk bond supply has revved up, with $21 billion priced in February making it the busiest month since March 2018. It was the highest-volume second month in four years.
• 30 deals priced, all oversubscribed multiple times, most priced at lower end of talk
• About 26% of the supply was to fund LBO suggesting strong demand for risk
• About 25% was rated CCC, some funding dividend distributions to equity sponsors
• About 54% of total supply was drive-by offerings
• S. high yield returned most YTD since 2001, up 6.26% after the best January since 2009
• Triple-Cs led the gains in junk bonds with 6.96%, also best since 2001
• CCCs January performance was best in almost 3 years, at 5.28%
• Junk bond yields dropped across ratings closing February near 4-month lows, with the exception of BBs, which closed at a 10-month low of 5%
• CCC yields and spreads dropped most for the month, closing at 10.52% and +780bps, respectively
• CCC spreads fell below +800 for first time since early December
• Low default, better-than-feared corporate earnings, firm oil and above all a dovish Fed boosted risk assets

(Globe Newswire)  Windstream Holdings, Inc. Files for Voluntary Reorganization Under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code Following Judge Furman’s Decision

• The Company intends to use the court-supervised process to address debt maturities that have been accelerated as a result of the recent decision by Judge Jesse Furman in the Southern District of New York against Windstream Services, LLC, a subsidiary of the Company.
• “Following a comprehensive review of our options, including an appeal, the Board of Directors and management team determined that filing for voluntary Chapter 11 protection is a necessary step to address the financial impact of Judge Furman’s decision and the impact it would have on consumers and businesses across the states in which we operate,” said Tony Thomas, president and chief executive officer of Windstream. “Taking this proactive step will ensure that Windstream has access to the capital and resources we need to continue building on Windstream’s strong operational momentum while we engage in constructive discussions with our creditors regarding the terms of a consensual plan of reorganization. We acted decisively to secure the long-term financial stability of Windstream, and we are confident that, upon completion of the reorganization process, we will be even better positioned to invest in our business, expand our speed and capabilities for our customers and compete for the long term.
• As previously announced on February 15, 2019, Judge Furman ruled that Windstream Services, LLC’s 2015 spinoff of certain telecommunications network assets into a real estate investment trust (REIT) violated its agreements with bondholders. The decision arose from challenges by Aurelius Capital Management (“Aurelius”) and U.S. Bank National Association that the spinoff was invalid under the terms of those agreements.
• The effect of Judge Furman’s decision was that an event of default under the relevant indenture had occurred that had not been cured or waived. The acceleration of the obligations outstanding under such indenture gave rise to a cross-default under the indentures governing Windstream’s other series of secured and unsecured notes. In addition, the decision gave rise to a cross-default under the credit agreement governing Windstream’s secured term and revolving loan obligations.

(PR Newswire)  S&P Global Ratings Upgrades Equinix to Investment Grade (‘BBB-‘) On Improving Credit Quality

• Equinix, the global interconnection and data center company, announced that S&P Global Ratings (“S&P”) has upgraded all of Equinix’s ratings with S&P by one notch to the investment grade rating of “BBB-“, including its issuer credit rating, its global multi-currency credit facility and term loan ratings, and all of the company’s senior unsecured notes.
• “We are very pleased to have received an investment grade credit rating from S&P, which reflects increased confidence in improving leverage levels and our demonstrated commitment to fund expansion in a disciplined and balanced manner,” said Keith Taylor, Chief Financial Officer, Equinix.

(PR Newswire)  Huntsman Receives Investment Grade Ratings from Moody’s and Fitch

• Huntsman Corporation announced that Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. has upgraded our senior unsecured rating from “Ba1” to “Baa3” with a “stable outlook”.  In addition, Fitch Ratings, Inc. published an initial Long-term Issuer Default Rating for the Company of “BBB-” with a “positive outlook”.
• Peter Huntsman, Chairman, President and CEO commented: “We are pleased to receive today the formal recognition of Investment Grade.  This has been our objective for many years and reflects the significant transformation of our balance sheet and downstream portfolio of businesses. This action will further strengthen our shareholder base, provide greater flexibility with our balance sheet and allow us to continue to expand our downstream businesses.”

CAM High Yield Market Note

2/22/2019

Fund Flows & Issuance:  According to a Wells Fargo report, flows week to date were $0.6 billion and year to date flows stand at $10.7 billion.  New issuance for the week was $2.1 billion and year to date HY is at $29.1 billion, which is -12% over the same period last year.

(Bloomberg)  High Yield Market Highlights

• S. junk bond spreads and yields were resilient amid wavering stocks as oil prices held steady and funds reported more cash inflows. Spreads continued to tighten after falling below 400 basis points for the first time since mid-November and yields were flat to little changed.
• This was the fourth straight week of inflows and the seventh of the last eight weeks
• Junk bond index rose for eighth straight day to new record high
• Return is 5.7% YTD, making it the best fixed income performer
• CCCs turned negative yesterday, have returned 6.03% YTD
• High yield beats IG, which returned 2.44% YTD, and leveraged loans which are up 3.53%
• Supply continued to trickle in, with a drive by offering from USAC
• Size was increased by $250m after receiving orders of more than $2b for a $500m offering
• Priced at lower end of talk
• Several deals have priced this week, all were drive bys, had orders more than 3x size of offering, suggesting risk appetite is strong
• Supply expected to remain light overall as there has been no big acquisitions or buyouts recently and a good part of refinancing has already been done
• S. junk bonds operate against the backdrop of strong technicals as reflected in slow issuance activity, net cash inflows, low default rate, steady corporate earnings

Fund Flows & Issuance:  According to a Wells Fargo report, flows week to date were $0.3 billion and year to date flows stand at $8.6 billion.  New issuance for the week was $7.2 billion and year to date HY is at $26.9 billion, which is -10% over the same period last year.

(Bloomberg)  High Yield Market Highlights

• Yields on U.S. speculative-grade bonds are set to decline for the fifth week, even as the rally was tempered a bit on Thursday. Fund managers, meanwhile, had their straight week of inflows.
• AVOL priced its drive-by offering amid drifting stocks after boosting its total size by $350m to $1.1b
• Two CCC rated credits priced, one of them to fund a dividend distribution to equity sponsors
• S. high yield continued to operate against the backdrop of strong technicals as reflected in the slow issuance activity and net cash inflows into high-yield retail funds, low default rate, and steady corporate earnings
• Junk bonds, with 5.25% returns YTD, continue to outperform other fixed income assets
• CCCs were leading high yield with 5.85% returns YTD
• Junk bonds leaped ahead leveraged loans this year, which have returned 3.09% YTD

(Bloomberg)  Return of the Junk-Bond Dividend Deal Shows It’s Risk On Again 

• Need more proof that investor appetite for risk-taking is returning in the U.S. junk-bond market? Take a look at the debt being offering by Ascend Learning, the educational software maker acquired two years ago by Blackstone Group and the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board in a leveraged buyout.
• The $300 million high-yield offering is the first since July that will be used to fund a dividend to a company’s owners, a purpose that’s typically seen by investors as riskier than other types of deals. It was the first such deal to launch since Bruin E&P Partners sold $600 million of notes in July to, among other things, fund a payout to its equity sponsors, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
• It’s just the latest sign that investors have returned to the market with a vengeance after fleeing for safer asset classes at the end of 2018.

(Bloomberg)  Fear Goes Missing in the Biggest U.S. Junk Rally in a Decade 

• Traders are going all-in on the best new year rally in U.S. junk bonds since 2009, cutting hedges that help cushion nasty shocks like hawkish monetary moves and weak
  corporate earnings.
• At-the-money implied volatility in the $14.9 billion iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF has more than halved since the December maelstrom and now sits below historic averages.
• While a resurgence in risk appetite and benign technical have powered a 4.9 percent return this year alone, the rally’s staying power is in question.

(Fortune)  T-Mobile CEO to Congress: We Won’t Use Huawei Equipment After Sprint Acquisition 

• T-Mobile US Chief Executive Officer John Legere says his company doesn’t use equipment from Huawei Technologies Co., and won’t after buying Sprint Corp. to form a bigger No. 3 in the U.S. wireless market.
• “Let me be clear—we do not use Huawei or ZTE network equipment in any area of our network. Period. And we will never use it in our 5G network,” Legere said in written testimony prepared for a hearing Wednesday before the House communications subcommittee.
• The statement is in response to critics who’ve raised the issue of the Chinese equipment maker as a risk to national security to build opposition to the proposed $26.5 billion merger.
• Sprint parent SoftBank Group has “significant ties” to Huawei, as does T-Mobile parent Deutsche Telekom AG, according to Carri Bennet, general counsel for the Rural Wireless Association that represents smaller competitors to the merging parties.
• “Allowing a Japanese-influenced company and German-influenced company to merger when both have significant 5G ties to Huawei appears to run counter to U.S. national security concerns,” Bennet said in testimony submitted for the hearing.